Labor Market Recap July 2024
A 50 basis point cut should be the base case after today and further slowdowns in the remaining jobs and inflation reports between now and the September meeting may bolster the case for more drastic action this year.
A 50 basis point cut should be the base case after today and further slowdowns in the remaining jobs and inflation reports between now and the September meeting may bolster the case for more drastic action this year.
With all of the softening in the labor market, it’s time for the Fed to actively discuss starting the process of rate normalization.
The totality of the evidence points more towards a cooling (but still good!) labor market than heating up, despite the payroll prints.
This is overall a good jobs report. Job growth is solid, and there are no obvious signs of weakness.
After what appeared to be (on the surface and at first glance) a hot January, the labor market data for February 2024 signaled a return to the narrative we followed throughout last year: the labor market is slowing, but remains strong.