Inflation Expectations
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Fedspeak Monitor: July 8th
With the Fourth of July falling midweek this week, we did not see very much new Fedspeak. Williams, Logan and Goolsbee all made hawkish comments, suggesting a need for further rate hikes this year.
PMIs and the Pandemic Business Cycle
As everyone is watching for signs of recession, some are warning that weakness in surveys like the ISM Manufacturing PMIs indicate an imminent recession. Since expectations play a major (and multi-faceted, as one can have expectations about all sorts of things) role in investment and employment...