Fedspeak Monitor 7/21/24
Another week of Fedspeak hearing from the dovish side of the Committee, who are mostly pushing back on July.
Another week of Fedspeak hearing from the dovish side of the Committee, who are mostly pushing back on July.
Powell laid the groundwork for rate cuts this week. While he wasn't specific about timing at the Humphrey Hawkins hearings, he was dovish enough that the subsequent inflation release solidifies a September start to the cutting cycle.
While still no one is willing to explicitly say it's time to go, the Fedspeak leaned dovish this week.
Since the June FOMC meeting and the May CPI release, there's been a noticeable shift in tone amongst the doves in the Committee.
Inflation optimism among the doves is back, but the hawks will want to see many months of good inflation before they're sure.