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213 postsFeb CPI - Short Preview: Inflection Points - Headline Upside (Putin), Core Downside (Used Cars)
Journalists can pretty much pre-write their headlines given the spike in oil prices. Year-over-year headline inflation readings are set to make new highs, potentially breaching 8% based on...
Quits vs. Openings: The Fed Needs To Choose Wisely
For months now, the JOLTS job openings have told a divergent story from other labor market indicators, such as quits, hires, and employment-based measures. This month’s data...
Fedspeak Monitor: March 6th
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The State Space: March 2023
Welcome to our State Space series. Here you will find how we’re thinking about the pathways and scenarios that could take us to critical economic states.