Fedspeak Monitor: June 3rd
This weeks’ Fedspeak comes against the backdrop of a surprisingly neutral Jobs Day report. This week saw communication from Goolsbee, Barkin, Jefferson, Collins, Bowman, Harker, Master and Bullard.
Fed Policy
177 postsLabor Market Recap May 2023: Renormalization
The data from the May labor market shows continued renormalization of the labor market, with strong employment, continued slowing of wage growth, and reduced churn.
Fedspeak Monitor: May 27th
Today’s hot PCE print keeps a June hike plausibly in play though it still seems like a hold is the better baseline view. This week saw another big round of Fedspeak — though we are still notably waiting on updates from Esther George.
Paid-members
Fedspeak Monitor: May 27th
Today’s hot PCE print keeps a June hike plausibly in play though it still seems like a hold is the better baseline view. This week saw another big round of Fedspeak — though we are still notably waiting on updates from Esther George.
Participation and the Post-Pandemic Labor Market: Pre-Pandemic is not the Ceiling
Contrary to the expectations of Fed officials, labor force participation growth has been strong over the last six months. In this piece, I use Current Population Survey microdata, correct for measurement issues, and show that an increase in labor force entry played a significant role in this recent…
