Employment

December 6, 2023 by Skanda Amarnath — 4 min read

Four Notes Ahead of the November Employment Report - We Are All On Sahm Rule Watch

Paid-members

A Rising Unemployment Rate Always Warrants Caution, But There Are Good Reasons To Hold Off On The Panicked Interpretation For Now

Skanda Amarnath — 6 min read

Causal Theme Labor Markets Jobs Day Employment Macro and Markets Fed Policy Data Economic Activity

Paid-members

September NFP Preview - Local Trends Might Give Clues About The Future Trajectory Of Productivity

Skanda Amarnath — 4 min read

Labor Markets NFP Preview Jobs Day Employment Wages Productivity Growth Data

Labor Force Participation and Unemployment are Tricky. Employment is What Matters.

Preston Mui — 5 min read

An earlier version of this piece erroneously attributed this to the wrong author. The author is Preston Mui. Last Friday, we learned that the unemployment rate in August...

Labor Markets Employment

Revision Whiplash: Why Coverage of Nonfarm Payroll Growth Is Messy, And How To Track Underlying Growth Better

Skanda Amarnath — 8 min read

Summary The main purpose of real-time macroeconomic data releases is to track the evolution in the underlying growth rate of economic activity. The precise levels of employment, wages,...

Labor Markets Data NFP Employment Wages

Four Notes Ahead of the November Employment Report - We Are All On Sahm Rule Watch

A Rising Unemployment Rate Always Warrants Caution, But There Are Good Reasons To Hold Off On The Panicked Interpretation For Now

September NFP Preview - Local Trends Might Give Clues About The Future Trajectory Of Productivity

Labor Force Participation and Unemployment are Tricky. Employment is What Matters.

Revision Whiplash: Why Coverage of Nonfarm Payroll Growth Is Messy, And How To Track Underlying Growth Better

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