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165 postsMid-May State Space (& April PCE Preview): Regional Banks & Debt Ceiling Bring End of Hikes Into Clearer View
Welcome to our State Space series. Here you will find how we’re thinking about the pathways and scenarios that could take us to critical economic states. We...
April Core-Cast Post-IPI: Divergent Airfare Trends Bring PCE Nowcasts Back Down, But Not Enough To Drive Inflection
Core-Cast is our nowcasting model to track the Fed's preferred inflation gauges before and through their release date. The heatmaps below give a comprehensive view of...