March 2025 FOMC Recap
The uncertainty over tariffs put inflation targeting’s weakness on display.
March 2025 FOMC Preview
Note: Subscribers to MacroSuite receive our FOMC preview at the beginning of the blackout period before each FOMC meeting. A public version of the preview will be released...
February 2025 Jobs Day Forecasts & Preview: Narrow Job Gains vs Reversion Effects From Weather, Seasonals & Natural Disasters
The following post was released to our MacroSuite subscribers subscribers on 2/25/2025. If you'd like to start a 90-day free trial of our exclusive...
January 2025 Core-Cast Post- PCE: Small Upside Surprises and Three Lagged Quirks That Stand In The Way Of The Fed's Target
Core-Cast is our model and publication series for nowcasting the Fed's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation gauges. Most of the PCE inflation gauges are sourced from...