Skanda Amarnath
545 postsWhat Should Be At Stake On Jobs Day: Sufficient Conditions For Frontloading Interest Rate Cuts
We see two individually sufficient conditions for the Fed to proceed with a frontloaded interest rate cut in September above 25 basis points: either (1) the unemployment rate...
Booming Productivity & Participation Alongside Slowing Income Growth: How The Labor Market Has More Than Rebalanced
Thanks to outperforming supply-side dynamics, the labor market has already rebalanced. At the same time, income growth is still decelerating and the lagging bits of the inflation overshoot...