Labor Market Recap July 2024
A 50 basis point cut should be the base case after today and further slowdowns in the remaining jobs and inflation reports between now and the September meeting may bolster the case for more drastic action this year.
Preston Mui
131 postsIn Order to Avoid Falling Behind, 50bps in September Should be on the Table
By delaying rate cuts in search of certainty, the Fed risks being behind the ball. The FOMC should actively keep the option of a 50 basis point cut on the table between now and the September meeting.
July 2024 FOMC Preview
While Fedspeak has certainly shifted during the past few weeks, few members are itching to cut rates at the July meeting.
Fire Prevention over Fire Fighting: The Case for Preemptive Cutting
Fire prevention—rather than fire fighting—is a better approach to risk management when it comes to the labor market. When it comes to unemployment risk, the Fed should be proactive and preemptive, not reactive.
Fedspeak Monitor 7/21/24
Another week of Fedspeak hearing from the dovish side of the Committee, who are mostly pushing back on July.
