Fedspeak Monitor 2/18/2024: Daly Sounds Dovish Again
In an extended conversation at NABE on Friday, Daly provided a lot of insight into her thinking. There was a lot to like in her answers.
In an extended conversation at NABE on Friday, Daly provided a lot of insight into her thinking. There was a lot to like in her answers.
The rest of the committee speaks in a near-unified voice: we can be patient with cuts.
Whether or not we see another boom in productivity is a question of policy, not a question of fate.
Tight labor markets and strong investment are crucial to securing the three-legged stool of productivity growth, but a stable supply of the essentials may be the most important to focus on today.
The second leg of the productivity growth stool is a boom in fixed investment. This is the heart of productivity growth in many ways, and is critical to achieving disinflationary dynamics over the medium term.